Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 Liguilla. Jor. 14

UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC analysis

UTC Cajamarca Ayacucho FC
64 ELO 65
2.1% Tilt -3.1%
1584º General ELO ranking 3075º
14º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
44.7%
UTC Cajamarca
26.1%
Draw
29.2%
Ayacucho FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
UTC Cajamarca
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.2%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UTC Cajamarca
-15%
+28%
Ayacucho FC

ELO progression

UTC Cajamarca
Ayacucho FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2016
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
4 - 2
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
44%
26%
29%
65 61 4 0
20 Nov. 2016
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
1 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
53%
25%
21%
65 68 3 0
02 Nov. 2016
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
3 - 0
Sport Huancayo
HUA
40%
28%
32%
63 69 6 +2
28 Oct. 2016
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
55%
24%
21%
64 66 2 -1
22 Oct. 2016
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
0 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
44%
27%
29%
65 68 3 -1

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2016
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 1
Universitario de Deportes
UNI
43%
26%
32%
65 68 3 0
18 Nov. 2016
HUA
Sport Huancayo
0 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
54%
24%
22%
65 68 3 0
13 Nov. 2016
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
47%
27%
26%
65 68 3 0
01 Nov. 2016
AYA
Ayacucho FC
2 - 0
Comerciantes Unidos
COM
46%
26%
28%
63 66 3 +2
29 Oct. 2016
ALI
Alianza Atl. Sullana
1 - 1
Ayacucho FC
AYA
42%
26%
32%
64 60 4 -1
X