UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
UTC
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
UTC
3 - 0
HUA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COM
7 - 2
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
COM
5 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |