USV Hercules vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
JVC
1 - 2
USV
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UNA
4 - 2
USV
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
DON
0 - 1
USV
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
USV
2 - 2
OOS
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
EVV
1 - 1
USV
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
OSS
0 - 1
EVV
76%
15%
8%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
OSS
2 - 0
OJC
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TIE
1 - 6
OSS
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
OSS
3 - 2
GOE
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
OSS
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |