USV Hercules vs De Kennemers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DWV
2 - 0
USV
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
USV
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USV
3 - 2
JOS
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DEZ
7 - 0
USV
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
USV
0 - 1
NVC
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
De Kennemers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DEK
1 - 2
ROD
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ROD
5 - 2
DEK
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DEK
0 - 1
PUR
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DEK
2 - 2
DEM
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
KFC
0 - 1
DEK
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |