USV Hercules vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
81.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HSC
2 - 1
USV
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
USV
2 - 1
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
USV
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
VVS
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
USV
16%
21%
62%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 2
ZWO
74%
16%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
AEK
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
20%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |