USSA Vertou vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
10º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 0
USS
14%
17%
69%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ESO
5 - 0
USS
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
LPS
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
USS
3 - 1
LAT
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
USS
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
SPG
55%
21%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 3
VIT
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPG
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |