USSA Vertou vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
10º
35
1º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
USS
0 - 0
ESO
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 0
USS
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
USS
0 - 3
ANG
63%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
USS
1 - 0
ASC
60%
21%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FON
0 - 0
SAB
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FON
2 - 2
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 3
FON
19%
26%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FON
1 - 0
PAN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |