USM Saran Sub 19 vs Chambly Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
12º
33
8º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
86% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Saran Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
SRA
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PSG
4 - 3
SRA
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 5
LIL
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 0
SRA
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SRA
1 - 1
VAL
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chambly Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LIL
22%
20%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
CHA
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 7
VAL
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DKQ
1 - 0
CHA
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
AMI
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +2 |