USM vs DRB-Hicom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
USM
3 - 1
DRB
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 0
USM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 1
USM
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
USM
1 - 0
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
USM
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
DRB-Hicom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
USM
3 - 1
DRB
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
DRB
1 - 3
ATM
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
DRB
0 - 3
PDR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MUA
2 - 2
DRB
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
DRB
1 - 0
HAR
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |