USM Alger vs Tlemcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
MCS
1 - 1
USM
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
CHL
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
USM
1 - 0
USM
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2011 |
USM
0 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 2010 |
JSK
1 - 0
USM
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tlemcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
TLE
1 - 1
SET
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
USM
1 - 1
TLE
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 1
TLE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TLE
5 - 1
BBA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
TLE
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |