USC Eugendorf vs Kuchl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
15º
8º
70
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 77 |
1º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 43 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 32 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 9 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 2
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
BUR
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
USC
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
ANI
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 4
USC
38%
21%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kuchl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
KUC
0 - 1
SEE
56%
21%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 3
KUC
7%
14%
78%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
0 - 6
KUC
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KUC
5 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
KUC
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |