Usagre vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usagre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
6 - 3
USA
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
SPH
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
2 - 2
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
USA
0 - 2
CDT
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
OLY
0 - 0
USA
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CDB
2 - 2
HER
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
QUI
38%
24%
39%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UCL
0 - 1
HER
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |