USAC vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
GUA
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
USA
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
MFC
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
JAB
0 - 1
USA
24%
21%
56%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
USA
2 - 0
FLA
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
MAU
1 - 1
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JAB
1 - 1
MAU
30%
27%
43%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
MFC
0 - 0
MAU
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAU
1 - 1
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAU
60%
21%
20%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |