Triestina vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 2
TRI
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
FER
71%
19%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 0
TRI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PES
2 - 2
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
VOG
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
POR
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAT
1 - 1
SIR
28%
26%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
SIR
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 0
TER
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASL
4 - 2
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |