Triestina vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRI
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
PIA
3 - 4
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 2
TOR
34%
30%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
FSD
1 - 2
SIE
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
INT
1 - 1
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 3
JUV
13%
23%
64%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
SIE
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |