Triestina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 1
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
TRI
2 - 1
FCC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
UDI
0 - 1
MES
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
CAG
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
USF
1 - 1
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
COS
0 - 0
MES
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |