Triestina vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LIV
4 - 1
TRI
52%
24%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
ROM
0 - 0
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 1
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ACM
4 - 2
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
VNZ
3 - 1
LAZ
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
SPE
2 - 5
LAZ
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
ACM
0 - 2
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |