Triestina vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
CAG
2 - 2
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
PAD
4 - 0
TRI
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
USA
3 - 1
FCC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1962 |
UDI
5 - 0
FCC
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |