US Thionville Lusitanos vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+297%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
3º
1º
31
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 45 |
3º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 33 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
THL
3 - 0
THA
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
THL
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 1
THL
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
THL
69%
16%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
RAO
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 3
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 3
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
MEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
RAO
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |