Serie A Round 18

Sassuolo vs Lazio analysis

Sassuolo Lazio
83 ELO 88
15% Tilt 5.9%
65º General ELO ranking 17º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.9%
Sassuolo
24.4%
Draw
43.6%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
Sassuolo
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.6%
Win probability
Lazio
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sassuolo
-2%
-4%
Lazio

Points and table prediction

Sassuolo
Their league position
Lazio
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
20º
13º
74
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sassuolo
Lazio
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sassuolo
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
61%
20%
19%
83 86 3 0
04 Jan. 2023
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 2
Sampdoria
SAM
68%
19%
13%
84 77 7 -1
29 Dec. 2022
SAS
Sassuolo
0 - 1
Inter
INT
14%
20%
67%
83 93 10 +1
23 Dec. 2022
EMP
Empoli
2 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
36%
25%
39%
83 79 4 0
17 Dec. 2022
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 2
PSV
PSV
25%
22%
53%
83 88 5 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2023
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Empoli
EMP
75%
16%
10%
88 79 9 0
04 Jan. 2023
LEC
Lecce
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
26%
24%
51%
88 80 8 0
22 Dec. 2022
ALM
Almería
2 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
18%
22%
59%
88 79 9 0
16 Dec. 2022
HAT
Hatayspor
2 - 5
Lazio
LAZ
14%
21%
66%
88 72 16 0
13 Dec. 2022
GAL
Galatasaray SK
1 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
31%
24%
45%
88 83 5 0