Aigues Mortes vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
13º
10º
41
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 1
SAM
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOU
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
SAM
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
USJ
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FBP
1 - 1
SAM
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 0
CAS
49%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USJ
1 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |