US Mondorf les Bains vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
5º
14º
6º
45
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
USM
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
USM
3 - 0
ETZ
37%
24%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TPE
4 - 1
USM
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
USM
1 - 2
UNA
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ULU
1 - 0
USM
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
DIF
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DIF
6 - 0
FOL
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ETZ
0 - 2
DIF
22%
25%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DIF
1 - 1
TPE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNA
3 - 2
DIF
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |