Itala S. Marco vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itala S. Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAC
2 - 2
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 3
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DEL
1 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
TAM
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |