US Hostert vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
USH
1 - 3
VIC
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 0
USH
70%
17%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
USH
1 - 2
KOE
68%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MER
2 - 1
USH
46%
25%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
USH
1 - 6
LXC
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
MON
5 - 1
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
MER
2 - 1
MAM
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
CBG
2 - 0
MER
38%
24%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MER
3 - 5
ATE
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MER
0 - 0
CSM
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |