US Hostert vs Racing Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
USH
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
6 - 0
USH
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
USH
0 - 1
JEU
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
USH
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
USH
1 - 3
VIC
37%
24%
40%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
JEU
1 - 1
RAC
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 2
RAC
21%
24%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
KAE
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |