National Division round 11

US Hostert vs Differdange 03 analysis

US Hostert Differdange 03
54 ELO 70
25.7% Tilt 15%
2376º General ELO ranking 1495º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.5%
US Hostert
22.2%
Draw
58.3%
Differdange 03

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
US Hostert
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.3%
Win probability
Differdange 03
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
US Hostert
-4%
+58%
Differdange 03

ELO progression

US Hostert
Differdange 03
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

US Hostert
US Hostert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2014
USM
US Mondorf
1 - 1
US Hostert
USH
39%
25%
36%
53 50 3 0
05 Oct. 2014
USH
US Hostert
2 - 1
Victoria Rosport
VIC
32%
23%
45%
52 61 9 +1
28 Sep. 2014
USH
US Hostert
2 - 1
Wiltz 71
WIL
59%
19%
22%
51 48 3 +1
21 Sep. 2014
JEU
Jeunesse Canach
1 - 0
US Hostert
USH
50%
24%
27%
52 54 2 -1
14 Sep. 2014
USH
US Hostert
1 - 1
Fola Esch
FOL
21%
24%
56%
51 70 19 +1

Matches

Differdange 03
Differdange 03
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2014
DIF
Differdange 03
3 - 0
Wiltz 71
WIL
76%
16%
8%
71 49 22 0
02 Oct. 2014
JEU
Jeunesse Canach
1 - 2
Differdange 03
DIF
16%
22%
62%
72 55 17 -1
27 Sep. 2014
DIF
Differdange 03
1 - 1
Fola Esch
FOL
50%
25%
25%
72 70 2 0
21 Sep. 2014
RUM
Rumelange
1 - 2
Differdange 03
DIF
15%
22%
63%
72 54 18 0
14 Sep. 2014
DIF
Differdange 03
3 - 1
Progrès Niederkorn
PRO
68%
20%
12%
71 60 11 +1