Calcio Foggia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
USF
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
USF
1 - 0
JUS
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AKR
0 - 1
USF
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 1
CAT
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
JUS
0 - 1
PAG
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
NUO
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
0 - 4
PAG
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |