Coppa Italia Group Stage D Round 1

Calcio Foggia vs Lecce analysis

Calcio Foggia Lecce
69 ELO 65
-7.1% Tilt -15.4%
2730º General ELO ranking 115º
99º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Calcio Foggia
18.4%
Draw
17.2%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
Calcio Foggia
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.2%
Win probability
Lecce
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Calcio Foggia
-11%
+2%
Lecce

ELO progression

Calcio Foggia
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Calcio Foggia
Calcio Foggia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1977
USF
Calcio Foggia
4 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
74%
17%
9%
69 59 10 0
24 Aug. 1977
TOR
Torino
4 - 2
Calcio Foggia
USF
85%
11%
4%
69 88 19 0
21 Aug. 1977
GEN
Genoa
5 - 1
Calcio Foggia
USF
70%
18%
13%
70 71 1 -1
22 May. 1977
VER
Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Calcio Foggia
USF
63%
23%
14%
71 74 3 -1
15 May. 1977
USF
Calcio Foggia
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
31%
31%
39%
71 88 17 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 1977
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
75%
14%
11%
65 72 7 0
28 Aug. 1977
LEC
Lecce
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
30%
29%
41%
65 88 23 0
21 Aug. 1977
LEC
Lecce
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
68%
18%
14%
64 60 4 +1
29 Jun. 1977
INT
Inter
0 - 0
Lecce
LEC
82%
12%
6%
64 84 20 0
26 Jun. 1977
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
9%
20%
71%
63 89 26 +1