US Esch vs The Belval Belvaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
15º
15º
62
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
ESC
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
SYR
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
USS
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RBE
5 - 1
ESC
48%
22%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 2
KOE
40%
21%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
The Belval Belvaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TBB
7 - 1
RBE
70%
16%
14%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 4
TBB
25%
22%
54%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOE
1 - 3
TBB
43%
22%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TBB
2 - 1
CBG
39%
24%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |