Cremonese vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USC
4 - 2
BV5
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
USC
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SOR
2 - 3
USC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +3 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USC
0 - 0
BV5
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
USC
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
CAR
66%
22%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAT
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
REG
1 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SSB
0 - 1
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |