Cremonese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PIS
0 - 1
USC
50%
26%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PAD
3 - 0
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
USC
0 - 0
USI
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PIZ
1 - 0
USC
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
USC
1 - 0
PRO
59%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 2
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 0
VNZ
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAV
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |