Corticella vs Marignanese analysis


15	ELO	25
-0.4%	Tilt	0.1%
5737º	General ELO ranking	46155º
211º	Country ELO ranking	1304º
ELO win probability

11.7%

Corticella

16.4%

Draw

72%

Marignanese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

11.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%

16.4%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

7.5%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

16.4%

72%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%