Avellino vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 2
BAR
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 2
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 1
CES
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
PIS
0 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 0
TRI
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
CES
4 - 1
TRE
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 2
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
TRE
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |