Avellino vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
AVE
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2006 |
AVE
4 - 0
CAV
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
TER
0 - 3
AVE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GIU
1 - 1
AVE
18%
26%
56%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
AVE
4 - 0
SAL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SSS
3 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
JUS
1 - 1
SSS
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
RAV
2 - 1
SSS
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
SSS
0 - 1
TER
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TER
1 - 1
SSS
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |