Avellino vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
FRO
5 - 3
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SPA
5 - 1
AVE
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 0
SOR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
FER
2 - 2
AVE
29%
29%
43%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
RIM
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
JUS
1 - 2
SIE
16%
24%
60%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 1
ATL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 0
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SIE
0 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 6
SIE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |