Avellino vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
28.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 0
AVE
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
AVE
2 - 1
SSS
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
RIM
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BRE
1 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
TAR
45%
32%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SAM
3 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
SAM
4 - 0
TAR
60%
26%
14%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
CES
2 - 1
SAM
51%
29%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
SSS
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 0
SAM
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |