Avellino vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
PAG
4 - 1
AVE
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
AVE
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 3
AVE
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
FCC
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FCV
2 - 2
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
0 - 1
PRG
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SSB
2 - 2
BEN
16%
23%
62%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
PIS
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |