Avellino vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PRG
3 - 0
AVE
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 2
LEO
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
CTT
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VER
3 - 1
AVE
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAR
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 2
SPE
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEO
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |