Avellino vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 2
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 3
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
FRO
1 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
ACD
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ASC
0 - 2
USF
39%
24%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |