Uruguay Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
UMO
0 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 6
UMO
28%
29%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
UMO
4%
11%
85%
|
76 | 10 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 0
POT
75%
17%
7%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BVS
1 - 1
UMO
30%
30%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PLA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 4
PLA
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
DAN
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
PLA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |