Ursus Warszawa vs Jagiellonia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
RWM
0 - 2
UWA
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
4 - 0
HWP
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 0
PEL
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LOM
1 - 2
UWA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 2
LWA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 0
LOM
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LWA
0 - 2
JAG
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 2
LTM
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
JAG
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
WLO
9%
20%
72%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |