Ureña vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
URE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
URE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 1
URE
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
URE
1 - 0
TRU
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
ZUL
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
ATL
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
MON
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 2
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 3
DEP
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -2 |