J1 League Round 8

Urawa Reds vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis

Urawa Reds Shimizu S-Pulse
83 ELO 81
3.4% Tilt -16.5%
400º General ELO ranking 496º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Urawa Reds
24.3%
Draw
27.7%
Shimizu S-Pulse

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
Urawa Reds
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.7%
Win probability
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Urawa Reds
+8%
-3%
Shimizu S-Pulse

Points and table prediction

Urawa Reds
Their league position
Shimizu S-Pulse
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
19º
31
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kyoto Sanga
45
66
24%
Kashima Antlers
47
65
17%
Kashiwa Reysol
47
65
19%
Vissel Kobe
46
64
12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
43
62
11.5%
Machida Zelvia
43
61
8.5%
Kawasaki Frontale
38
57
13%
Urawa Reds
41
57
12.5%
Cerezo Osaka
37
55
12.5%
Avispa Fukuoka
10º
35
53
10º
14%
Gamba Osaka
11º
34
53
11º
17%
Shimizu S-Pulse
13º
31
52
12º
10%
Tokyo Verdy
14º
31
49
13º
12.5%
FC Tokyo
15º
29
47
14º
14.5%
Fagiano Okayama
12º
33
46
15º
14.5%
Nagoya Grampus
16º
28
46
16º
14%
Shonan Bellmare
17º
24
42
17º
18.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos
18º
21
39
18º
19.5%
Albirex Niigata
20º
19
37
19º
22%
Yokohama
19º
19
34
20º
50.5%
Expected probabilities
Urawa Reds
Shimizu S-Pulse
AFC Champions League Elite
5.5% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
5% 0%
Mid-table
89.5% 97.5%
Relegation
0% 2.5%

ELO progression

Urawa Reds
Shimizu S-Pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
Avispa Fukuoka
Kashiwa Reysol
Nagoya Grampus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Urawa Reds
Urawa Reds
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2025
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
48%
26%
26%
82 82 0 0
16 Mar. 2025
KAA
Kashima Antlers
1 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
46%
27%
27%
82 82 0 0
08 Mar. 2025
URA
Urawa Reds
1 - 0
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
62%
23%
16%
82 76 6 0
02 Mar. 2025
URA
Urawa Reds
0 - 2
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
52%
24%
24%
82 81 1 0
26 Feb. 2025
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
2 - 1
Urawa Reds
URA
42%
28%
30%
82 80 2 0

Matches

Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2025
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
3 - 0
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
49%
25%
27%
80 81 1 0
26 Mar. 2025
SAG
Sagamihara
1 - 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
8%
16%
75%
80 56 24 0
16 Mar. 2025
SHI
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
49%
25%
26%
80 81 1 0
08 Mar. 2025
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
53%
23%
24%
80 82 2 0
02 Mar. 2025
FAG
Fagiano Okayama
1 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
SHI
30%
26%
44%
80 75 5 0