AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 2-1
Urawa Reds vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ALH
1 - 1
URA
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
KAA
1 - 0
URA
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
URA
3 - 3
GAM
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
URA
1 - 0
SHA
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ALH
1 - 1
URA
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALS
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ALN
1 - 2
ALH
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALB
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ALH
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |