Urania Genève Sport vs Plan-les-Ouates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
14º
11º
34
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
74.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 33 |
15º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
47% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urania Genève Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
UGS
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
UGS
1 - 5
FCC
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VEY
1 - 1
UGS
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UGS
5 - 2
COL
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 2
UGS
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plan-les-Ouates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PLO
5 - 3
TPA
56%
19%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SBC
1 - 2
PLO
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PLO
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
PLO
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PLO
2 - 2
VEY
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |