Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
UP Langreo vs La Roda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
UPL
3 - 0
CUD
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEA
2 - 0
UPL
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
UPL
5 - 1
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PRA
0 - 3
UPL
11%
21%
68%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TUI
2 - 1
UPL
50%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 2
ILL
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VRU
2 - 1
ROD
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
TOM
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 3
ROD
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 1
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |