UP Langreo vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 1
UPL
59%
23%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UPL
2 - 1
OVI
19%
25%
56%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 2
UPL
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UPL
1 - 1
COM
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 3
UPL
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
1 - 0
LEA
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVI
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 1
CEL
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RCF
2 - 1
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AVI
0 - 1
UDL
56%
25%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |