3. Liga Round 8

Unterhaching vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis

Unterhaching Erzgebirge Aue
61 ELO 60
-5.2% Tilt 4.7%
1881º General ELO ranking 1283º
79º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
44.4%
Unterhaching
25.5%
Draw
30.1%
Erzgebirge Aue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
Unterhaching
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.1%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unterhaching
+5%
-7%
Erzgebirge Aue

ELO progression

Unterhaching
Erzgebirge Aue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unterhaching
Unterhaching
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2008
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 2
Unterhaching
UNT
28%
26%
46%
60 50 10 0
13 Sep. 2008
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 0
Sandhausen
SVS
48%
25%
28%
60 58 2 0
30 Aug. 2008
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
5 - 1
Unterhaching
UNT
35%
27%
38%
61 57 4 -1
23 Aug. 2008
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 - 0
Unterhaching
UNT
50%
25%
26%
61 62 1 0
17 Aug. 2008
UNT
Unterhaching
2 - 0
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
59%
24%
18%
60 54 6 +1

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2008
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
9%
16%
76%
60 88 28 0
20 Sep. 2008
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
46%
26%
28%
61 61 0 -1
13 Sep. 2008
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
1 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
28%
26%
46%
60 53 7 +1
30 Aug. 2008
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
44%
27%
29%
61 63 2 -1
24 Aug. 2008
WER
Werder Bremen II
4 - 2
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
39%
25%
36%
62 58 4 -1