UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
10º
10º
62
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
DRO
3 - 1
UCD
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
76%
16%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 3
SHR
13%
24%
64%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 0
UCD
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 2
DUN
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
STP
2 - 1
DUN
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 1
STP
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
SHR
3 - 2
STP
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
STP
3 - 0
DRO
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
CAO
2 - 3
STP
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |