UC Dublin vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
UCD
1 - 2
WAT
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SHR
7 - 0
UCD
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
UCD
3 - 0
BOH
22%
27%
51%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
UCD
0 - 11
OPA
19%
21%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
DER
2 - 0
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
DER
3 - 0
SLR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
DUN
20%
23%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |